Linda Mwananchi emerges as Nairobi’s most popular political outfit in new TIFA poll

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The Linda Mwananchi Movement has emerged as the most popular political outfit in Nairobi, commanding 26 percent support, according to a new survey released by Trends and Insights for Africa (TIFA) on Thursday, November 12.

The movement, associated with Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna, leads the Democracy for the Citizens Party (DCP), which commands 11 percent support, followed by ODM at 9 percent and President William Ruto’s UDA at 8 percent.

Wiper and Jubilee each command 7 percent, while 31 percent of Nairobi respondents said they do not identify with any political party.

Nationally, UDA has reclaimed its position as the most popular party, with support rising from 17 percent in June to 25 percent in November.

Linda Mwananchi comes second at 17 percent, overtaking ODM, whose support has dropped by half from 20 percent to 10 percent.

DCP follows at 9 percent, Wiper at 5 percent, and Jubilee at 4 percent.

Regionally, Linda Mwananchi enjoys its strongest support in Western Kenya at 40 percent, followed by Nairobi at 26 percent, Nyanza at 18 percent, and the Coast at 16 percent.

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UDA maintains its strongest support in Northern Kenya at 60 percent and Central Rift at 56 percent, while ODM leads in Nyanza at 33 percent.

In the presidential race, President Ruto and Sifuna are tied at 31 percent as Kenyans’ preferred winners of the 2027 General Election.

Sifuna’s support has risen from 15 percent in June to 31 percent, while Ruto’s has increased from 24 percent over the same period.

Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka ranks third at 9 percent, followed by Fred Matiang’i at 5 percent and Rigathi Gachagua at 4 percent.

In Nairobi, Sifuna leads presidential preferences at 39 percent, ahead of Ruto at 13 percent, Kalonzo at 11 percent and Matiang’i at 10 percent.

The survey also shows that 43 percent of Kenyans oppose the broad-based government arrangement between UDA and ODM, compared to 32 percent who support it.

In Nairobi, opposition to the arrangement stands at 57 percent, while only 13 percent support it.

The survey was conducted between October 26 and November 5, 2026, through face-to-face interviews with 2,036 adults across all 47 counties.

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